The Dynamic Influence of Mountain–Valley Breeze Circulation on Wildfire Spread in the Greater Khingan Mountains

During the summer fire season in the Greater Khingan Mountains, weak synoptic winds allow local mountain–valley breeze systems to predominantly influence fire spread. However, their dynamic effects remain insufficiently quantified, limiting fire forecasting accuracy. This study analyzes a decade of summer meteorological data and a high-resolution WRF-Fire simulation of a 2023 wildfire to investigate wind patterns and their impact on fire behavior. Results reveal pronounced diurnal and spatial wind variability, with low directional persistence and concentrated nighttime distributions. Under low-wind conditions, mountain–valley breezes shift from upslope during the day to downslope flows at night. Simulations and observations indicate higher nighttime wind speeds on slopes and higher daytime speeds in valleys, reflecting the combined effects of thermal circulation and gravitational acceleration. The WRF-Fire model effectively reproduced the wildfire’s macro-scale spread pattern, showing strong agreement with satellite-derived burn scars in mountainous regions. Fire progression was influenced by five distinct phases, with nocturnal mountain winds and topographic channeling accelerating spread. These highlight the role of terrain-driven mountain–valley breezes in fire propagation and provide insights to improve fire forecasting and management strategies in mountainous regions. Firefighting strategies must account for the diurnal cycle of wind, particularly the contrast between strong nighttime winds at higher altitudes and stable valley conditions.