Research on the Evaluation Method of Urban Water Resources Resilience Based on the DPSIR Model: A Case Study of Dalian City

Under global climate change and urbanization, enhancing urban water resources resilience (WRR) is crucial. As a typical water-scarce city, Dalian in China faces significant challenges in water security. However, systematic assessments of WRR that integrate spatial and temporal dimensions remain limited. This study develops a novel evaluation framework integrating the Driving Force-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR) model with the resilience process encompassing the pre-disturbance, during-disturbance, and post-disturbance to quantify the spatiotemporal evolution of WRR in Dalian from 2010 to 2022. The comprehensive Water Resources Resilience Index (WRRI) was calculated using the entropy weight method. The Geodetector and an obstacle degree model were used to identify key driving factors and obstacles. Results indicate an average WRRI of 0.47 with significant fluctuations. Spatially, resilience displayed a “high in the south, low in the north” pattern, with most areas at low-to-moderately low levels. Socio-economic factors such as water resources development and utilization rate, water use per 10,000 yuan of GDP, and proportion of the tertiary industry in GDP, along with natural factors like per capita water resources, were identified as the primary drivers. Obstacle factors varied spatially, reflecting distinct water management challenges across different counties. This study highlights the importance of integrating the resilience process into WRR evaluation and provides a scientific basis for developing targeted strategies to enhance urban water security and sustainable resource management.