Differential censoring in overall survival in phase 3 oncology clinical trials

In phase 3 oncology clinical trials, identifying and understanding potential sources of differential censoring (DC), which describes censoring imbalance between treatment arms, in overall survival (OS) endpoints is vital to reduce bias and misinterpretation of OS benefit. Among 322 trials, 34 (11%) trials exhibited DC overrepresented in the control arm (DCC). Compared to trials without DC or those with DC overrepresented in the experimental arm (DCE), trials with DCC showed higher rates of OS benefit (56% vs 32%; odds ratio [OR] 2.26, 95% CI 1.04-4.90; P=.04) and were associated with patient withdrawal (median 8.0% vs 3.8%; P=.0002), lack of double blinding (15% vs 48%, OR 0.19, 95% CI 0.06-0.56; P=.003), and better global quality of life in the experimental arm (32% vs 13%, OR 3.01, 95% CI 1.26-7.19; P=.01). OS DCC is a prominent challenge that requires rigorous trial design and comprehensive patient and mortality follow-up to reduce bias in interpreting OS benefit.

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Publication Details

Journal
JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute
Published
2025-12-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/jnci/djaf378
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
Type
article
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article

Differential censoring in overall survival in phase 3 oncology clinical trials

Timothy A. Lin, Alexander D. Sherry, Ethan B. Ludmir, Eric J. Hsu et al.
JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute
Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
article

Differential censoring in overall survival in phase 3 oncology clinical trials

Timothy A. Lin, Alexander D. Sherry, Ethan B. Ludmir, Eric J. Hsu, Zachary R. McCaw, Joseph Abi Jaoude, Ramez Kouzy, Pavlos Msaouel, Tomer Meirson
article en

Abstract

In phase 3 oncology clinical trials, identifying and understanding potential sources of differential censoring (DC), which describes censoring imbalance between treatment arms, in overall survival (OS) endpoints is vital to reduce bias and misinterpretation of OS benefit. Among 322 trials, 34 (11%) trials exhibited DC overrepresented in the control arm (DCC). Compared to trials without DC or those with DC overrepresented in the experimental arm (DCE), trials with DCC showed higher rates of OS benefit (56% vs 32%; odds ratio [OR] 2.26, 95% CI 1.04-4.90; P=.04) and were associated with patient withdrawal (median 8.0% vs 3.8%; P=.0002), lack of double blinding (15% vs 48%, OR 0.19, 95% CI 0.06-0.56; P=.003), and better global quality of life in the experimental arm (32% vs 13%, OR 3.01, 95% CI 1.26-7.19; P=.01). OS DCC is a prominent challenge that requires rigorous trial design and comprehensive patient and mortality follow-up to reduce bias in interpreting OS benefit.

JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (US), The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (US), Tel Aviv University (IL), Rabin Medical Center (IL), Mayo Clinic in Arizona (US), Mayo Clinic in Florida (US), Stanford University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 22%
Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
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