Green attitudes and interregional migration intentions: Evidence from the EU

This paper investigates how pro-environmental preferences interact with structural regional conditions in shaping interregional migration intentions across EU regions. Survey-based individual data are combined with regional indicators in multinomial logit models of short- and long-term migration intentions. Results indicate that pro-environmental preferences are positively and consistently associated with migration intentions, with the strongest effects observed in the highest category across both intention horizons. Regional conditions, measured through the Regional Green Transition Vulnerability (RGTV) index and the Regional Attractiveness Index (tr-RAI), also exert significant influence. Interaction effects suggest that environmentally conscious individuals are more responsive to transition vulnerabilities when forming migration intentions, although these effects differ between short- and long-term horizons. By jointly incorporating attitudinal and structural dimensions, the analysis advances understanding of migration dynamics and highlights the role of environmental values as a driver of spatial mobility, offering insights for policies aiming at reducing territorial disparities and supporting sustainable regional transitions.