An Integrated Energy Trading Strategy Management Architecture with Deep Reinforcement Learning: Application in Türkiye

For industrial enterprises, effective energy trading in intraday markets is vital for cost reduction but challenging due to market volatility and the complexity of decision-making. This study proposes a novel integrated energy trading framework utilizing Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) to automate and optimize trading strategies in the Intraday Market (IDM). Unlike conventional rule-based or purely simulation-driven RL models, the proposed framework employs a state-augmented Markov Decision Process (MDP) formulation that integrates exogenous System Marginal Price (SMP) interval forecasts directly into the agent’s observation space. Specifically, a Deep Q-Network (DQN) architecture augmented with Prioritized Experience Replay (PER) is developed to handle the high volatility and continuous state space of energy markets, overcoming the limitations of traditional tabular Q-learning. To enhance the agent's decision-making capabilities, a hybrid forecasting mechanism employing LightGBM and CatBoost algorithms is integrated to predict SMP. The proposed system was validated using real-world data from Energy Exchange Istanbul (EXIST). The results demonstrate that the DRL-based agent achieved approximately $1 savings per MWh and reduced monthly operational labor costs by over $6,000 compared to rule-based strategies, achieving a ~158% performance improvement over discrete-state Q-table baselines and proving its efficacy in minimizing energy costs and managing imbalances.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Pioneering Technology and Engineering
Published
2025-12-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.56158/jpte.2025.137.4.02
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

An Integrated Energy Trading Strategy Management Architecture with Deep Reinforcement Learning: Application in Türkiye

Mustafa Mutlu, Işık Gürkan, İsmail Enes Parlak
International Journal of Pioneering Technology and Engineering
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

An Integrated Energy Trading Strategy Management Architecture with Deep Reinforcement Learning: Application in Türkiye

Mustafa Mutlu, Işık Gürkan, İsmail Enes Parlak
article en

Abstract

For industrial enterprises, effective energy trading in intraday markets is vital for cost reduction but challenging due to market volatility and the complexity of decision-making. This study proposes a novel integrated energy trading framework utilizing Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) to automate and optimize trading strategies in the Intraday Market (IDM). Unlike conventional rule-based or purely simulation-driven RL models, the proposed framework employs a state-augmented Markov Decision Process (MDP) formulation that integrates exogenous System Marginal Price (SMP) interval forecasts directly into the agent’s observation space. Specifically, a Deep Q-Network (DQN) architecture augmented with Prioritized Experience Replay (PER) is developed to handle the high volatility and continuous state space of energy markets, overcoming the limitations of traditional tabular Q-learning. To enhance the agent's decision-making capabilities, a hybrid forecasting mechanism employing LightGBM and CatBoost algorithms is integrated to predict SMP. The proposed system was validated using real-world data from Energy Exchange Istanbul (EXIST). The results demonstrate that the DRL-based agent achieved approximately $1 savings per MWh and reduced monthly operational labor costs by over $6,000 compared to rule-based strategies, achieving a ~158% performance improvement over discrete-state Q-table baselines and proving its efficacy in minimizing energy costs and managing imbalances.

International Journal of Pioneering Technology and EngineeringVol. 4(02)
Bursa Technical University (TR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 42%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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