AI-Driven Prediction of ROSC Using EtCO2 Trends and Response Dynamics Following Vasopressor Administration

Capnography is widely used during resuscitation to monitor ventilation and perfusion. Prior studies have shown that out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) outcomes are associated with end-tidal capnography (EtCO2) trends. However, the use of artificial intelligence (AI) to predict return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) based on EtCO2 trends remains unexplored. We aimed to develop an AI model to predict ROSC using EtCO2 trends and identify influential features. We conducted a secondary analysis of the Pragmatic Airway Resuscitation Trial (PART), including previously calculated EtCO2 slope and post-vasopressor response features, along with patient demographics. An AI-based Random Forest classifier was trained to predict ROSC, and feature importance scores were extracted. The model achieved 83% accuracy, indicating strong performance in identifying both ROSC and non-ROSC cases. Of the top five features ranked by the model, four were related to EtCO2 trends and response to vasopressor administration. AI-driven EtCO2 algorithms may strongly influence resuscitation decisions.

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Publication Details

Journal
ScholarSpace (University of Hawaii at Manoa)
Published
2025-12-23
Primary Topic
Cardiac Arrest and Resuscitation
Type
article
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article

AI-Driven Prediction of ROSC Using EtCO2 Trends and Response Dynamics Following Vasopressor Administration

Michelle Nassal, Alexander Ulintz, Andoni Elola, Ashish R. Panchal et al.
ScholarSpace (University of Hawaii at Manoa)
Cardiac Arrest and Resuscitation
article

AI-Driven Prediction of ROSC Using EtCO2 Trends and Response Dynamics Following Vasopressor Administration

Michelle Nassal, Alexander Ulintz, Andoni Elola, Ashish R. Panchal, Emre Ertin, Nithin Sugavanam, Xabier Jaureguibeitia, Ahamed Idris, Henry Wang, Elisabete Aramendi, Banu Priya Raya Krishnamoorthy
article en

Abstract

Capnography is widely used during resuscitation to monitor ventilation and perfusion. Prior studies have shown that out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) outcomes are associated with end-tidal capnography (EtCO2) trends. However, the use of artificial intelligence (AI) to predict return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) based on EtCO2 trends remains unexplored. We aimed to develop an AI model to predict ROSC using EtCO2 trends and identify influential features. We conducted a secondary analysis of the Pragmatic Airway Resuscitation Trial (PART), including previously calculated EtCO2 slope and post-vasopressor response features, along with patient demographics. An AI-based Random Forest classifier was trained to predict ROSC, and feature importance scores were extracted. The model achieved 83% accuracy, indicating strong performance in identifying both ROSC and non-ROSC cases. Of the top five features ranked by the model, four were related to EtCO2 trends and response to vasopressor administration. AI-driven EtCO2 algorithms may strongly influence resuscitation decisions.

ScholarSpace (University of Hawaii at Manoa)
Openalex Percentile: Top 25%
Cardiac Arrest and Resuscitation
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