A Scoping Review of Microsimulation Models on Obesity-Related Policy Evaluation

<b>Background/Objectives</b>: Obesity is a major global public health and economic challenge. Governments worldwide have implemented nutrition-focused policies such as sugar-sweetened beverage taxes, front-of-pack labeling, food assistance reforms, and school nutrition standards to improve diet quality and reduce obesity. Because large-scale randomized controlled trials are often infeasible and conventional epidemiologic methods overlook population heterogeneity and behavioral feedback, microsimulation modeling has become a key tool for evaluating long-term and distributional policy impacts. This scoping review examined the application of microsimulation to obesity-related nutrition policies, focusing on model structure, behavioral parameterization, and integration of economic and equity analyses. <b>Methods</b>: Following PRISMA guidelines (PROSPERO CRD42024599769), five databases were searched for peer-reviewed studies. Data were extracted on policy mechanisms, model design, parameterization, and equity analysis. Study quality was assessed using a customized 21-item checklist adapted from CHEERS and NIH tools. <b>Results</b>: Twenty-nine studies met the inclusion criteria, with most policy settings based in the United States. Most employed dynamic, stochastic, individual-level microsimulation models with diverse behavioral assumptions, obesity equations, and calibration approaches. While most studies stratified outcomes by socioeconomic or demographic group, only one used a formal quantitative equity metric. <b>Conclusions</b>: Microsimulation modeling provides valuable evidence on the long-term health, economic, and distributional impacts of nutrition policies. Future work should strengthen methodological transparency, standardize equity assessment, and expand application beyond high-income settings to improve the comparability, credibility, and policy relevance of simulation-based nutrition policy research.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nutrients
Published
2025-12-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/nu18010073
Primary Topic
Obesity, Physical Activity, Diet
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A Scoping Review of Microsimulation Models on Obesity-Related Policy Evaluation

Ruopeng An, Yue Fang, Zhixin Cao, Chenyu Wang
Nutrients
Obesity, Physical Activity, Diet
article

A Scoping Review of Microsimulation Models on Obesity-Related Policy Evaluation

Ruopeng An, Yue Fang, Zhixin Cao, Chenyu Wang
article en

Abstract

<b>Background/Objectives</b>: Obesity is a major global public health and economic challenge. Governments worldwide have implemented nutrition-focused policies such as sugar-sweetened beverage taxes, front-of-pack labeling, food assistance reforms, and school nutrition standards to improve diet quality and reduce obesity. Because large-scale randomized controlled trials are often infeasible and conventional epidemiologic methods overlook population heterogeneity and behavioral feedback, microsimulation modeling has become a key tool for evaluating long-term and distributional policy impacts. This scoping review examined the application of microsimulation to obesity-related nutrition policies, focusing on model structure, behavioral parameterization, and integration of economic and equity analyses. <b>Methods</b>: Following PRISMA guidelines (PROSPERO CRD42024599769), five databases were searched for peer-reviewed studies. Data were extracted on policy mechanisms, model design, parameterization, and equity analysis. Study quality was assessed using a customized 21-item checklist adapted from CHEERS and NIH tools. <b>Results</b>: Twenty-nine studies met the inclusion criteria, with most policy settings based in the United States. Most employed dynamic, stochastic, individual-level microsimulation models with diverse behavioral assumptions, obesity equations, and calibration approaches. While most studies stratified outcomes by socioeconomic or demographic group, only one used a formal quantitative equity metric. <b>Conclusions</b>: Microsimulation modeling provides valuable evidence on the long-term health, economic, and distributional impacts of nutrition policies. Future work should strengthen methodological transparency, standardize equity assessment, and expand application beyond high-income settings to improve the comparability, credibility, and policy relevance of simulation-based nutrition policy research.

NutrientsVol. 18(1)
Western New Mexico University (US), Chicago Department of Public Health (US), University of Michigan (US), University of Chicago (US), New York University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 26%
Obesity, Physical Activity, Diet
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