Louis Bachelier's <i>Théorie de la Spéculation</i> : The Missing Piece in Walras's General Equilibrium

ABSTRACT We propose a revisited view of Louis Bachelier's contribution to economic analysis. Conventional wisdom presents Bachelier as the founding father of modern financial theory. We show that Bachelier's work is constructed to respond to a gap in the Walrasian general equilibrium, where the options market is verbosely introduced but not modeled. By providing a price formation theory for the missing options market, Bachelier presents himself as the heir apparent of the mathematical economics tradition founded by Walras. Indeed, Bachelier's methodological stance is clearly formed on the “rational method” of Walras, proceeding by mathematical demonstration from postulates that we make explicit. We show additionally how Walras and Bachelier in pre‐WW2 France reached the same audience. We propose to name this augmented general equilibrium model the Walras–Bachelier model of intertemporal general equilibrium in the presence of risk. This theory prefigures the Arrow–Debreu model, with some differences which we make clear.

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Publication Details

Journal
Kyklos
Published
2025-12-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.70026
Primary Topic
Economic Theory and Institutions
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Louis Bachelier's Théorie de la Spéculation : The Missing Piece in Walras's General Equilibrium

Antoine Parent, Pierre‐Charles Pradier, Nicole El Karoui
Kyklos
Economic Theory and Institutions
article

Louis Bachelier's Théorie de la Spéculation : The Missing Piece in Walras's General Equilibrium

Antoine Parent, Pierre‐Charles Pradier, Nicole El Karoui
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT We propose a revisited view of Louis Bachelier's contribution to economic analysis. Conventional wisdom presents Bachelier as the founding father of modern financial theory. We show that Bachelier's work is constructed to respond to a gap in the Walrasian general equilibrium, where the options market is verbosely introduced but not modeled. By providing a price formation theory for the missing options market, Bachelier presents himself as the heir apparent of the mathematical economics tradition founded by Walras. Indeed, Bachelier's methodological stance is clearly formed on the “rational method” of Walras, proceeding by mathematical demonstration from postulates that we make explicit. We show additionally how Walras and Bachelier in pre‐WW2 France reached the same audience. We propose to name this augmented general equilibrium model the Walras–Bachelier model of intertemporal general equilibrium in the presence of risk. This theory prefigures the Arrow–Debreu model, with some differences which we make clear.

Kyklos
Sorbonne Université (FR), Centre d'Économie de la Sorbonne (FR), Laboratoire Matière et Systèmes Complexes (FR), Laboratoire de Probabilités et Modèles Aléatoires (FR), Université Paris 8 (FR), Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (FR)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 21%
Economic Theory and Institutions
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