Deep Learning Algorithms for Wind Speed Prediction in Complex Terrain Using Meteorological Data

As core components of power grids, overhead transmission lines must traverse mountains and rivers, particularly in complex terrain where traditional wind speed prediction methods exhibit significant shortcomings in capturing sudden wind speed changes and spatial structural characteristics. The present study proposes a deep learning-based complex terrain wind speed prediction algorithm model utilizing meteorological data with the objective of enhancing the precision of wind speed variation prediction. The model utilizes historical meteorological data and terrain attributes derived from digital elevation models as inputs. The model’s design incorporates a terrain-aware temporal convolutional network and a terrain-modulated initialization strategy, resulting in high sensitivity to wind field variations. Subsequently, a terrain-relative position encoding bridging module is constructed to fuse local terrain features with spatial structural priors. A novel terrain-guided sparse attention mechanism is proposed to direct the model’s focus toward complex terrain regions, thereby enhancing the model’s capacity to predict wind speed with greater precision. The experimental results demonstrate that, for conventional wind speed prediction, this model reduces the mean absolute error and root mean square error by 6.6% and 30%, respectively, compared to current mainstream models. In tasks involving strong wind prediction, the model exhibits a reduction in the average false negative rate and false positive rate by 11.3% and 4.7%, respectively, when compared to conventional models. This finding suggests the model’s efficacy and robustness in complex terrain wind speed prediction tasks.