Floods and electoral participation in Peru

Flooding is of increasing concern to electoral administrators the world over, as climate change is bringing more intense floods, and pre-electoral inundations may disrupt voting processes. This paper focuses on measures taken by Peruvian electoral authorities to mitigate the negative impacts of flooding. Focusing on the 2021 general elections, the analysis employs difference-in-differences regression to estimate the causal impact of flooding on turnout. The analysis finds that the period of intensive rain that preceded this electoral event depressed turnout levels in the places where floods occurred, but that <br/>these effects were minimal, given that electoral administrators had put in place a range of innovative techniques to protect elections from natural hazards. These findings indicate that the Peruvian approach to vote facilitation is a useful example for electoral authorities elsewhere. Climatic risks nevertheless pose <br/>challenges that can be addressed by additional protective measures, especially in relation to displaced voters.

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Publication Details

Journal
Research Portal (King's College London)
Published
2025-12-06
Primary Topic
Disaster Management and Resilience
Type
article
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article

Floods and electoral participation in Peru

Sarah; id_orcid 0000-0001-6457-1310 Birch
Research Portal (King's College London)
Disaster Management and Resilience
article

Floods and electoral participation in Peru

Sarah; id_orcid 0000-0001-6457-1310 Birch
article en

Abstract

Flooding is of increasing concern to electoral administrators the world over, as climate change is bringing more intense floods, and pre-electoral inundations may disrupt voting processes. This paper focuses on measures taken by Peruvian electoral authorities to mitigate the negative impacts of flooding. Focusing on the 2021 general elections, the analysis employs difference-in-differences regression to estimate the causal impact of flooding on turnout. The analysis finds that the period of intensive rain that preceded this electoral event depressed turnout levels in the places where floods occurred, but that <br/>these effects were minimal, given that electoral administrators had put in place a range of innovative techniques to protect elections from natural hazards. These findings indicate that the Peruvian approach to vote facilitation is a useful example for electoral authorities elsewhere. Climatic risks nevertheless pose <br/>challenges that can be addressed by additional protective measures, especially in relation to displaced voters.

Research Portal (King's College London)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 23%
Disaster Management and Resilience
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