Timely deployment of best-in-class technologies to enable development and decarbonise construction
In the face of two apparently irreconcilable global challenges - housing a growing world population and reducing CO<sub>2</sub> emissions - we analyse the current, historic and forecast data on the use of construction materials. Today, cement-based materials make up around three quarters of materials used by mass. Historically, we see that cement-based materials use goes through a peak as Gross Domestic Product per capita increases and then falls. This peak of cement use has been particularly pronounced in China, but is now on a downwards path. From now to 2050, three quarters of construction materials demand will be in low- and middle-income countries. We estimate that adopting the best available construction technologies could reduce CO<sub>2</sub> emissions by about 73% compared to business as usual by 2050. In low- and middle-income countries, the housing and infrastructure needed to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals could be supplied while simultaneously reducing their per capita CO<sub>2</sub> emissions from structural materials.
Authors
- Cyrille F. Dunant (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5176-4439)
- Karen Scrivener (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2640-1497)
- Wolfram Schmidt (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0528-4079)
- Hisham Hafez (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0004-8917-680X)
- Martin Röck
- Sabbie Miller
- Alastair T. M. Marsh
- Franco Zunino
Institutions
- University of Leeds (GB)
- Federal Institute For Materials Research and Testing (DE)
- University of Cambridge (GB)
- Regenerative Medicine Institute (MX)
- École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (CH)
- University of California, Davis (US)
- University of California, Berkeley (US)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2025-12-24
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-67489-8
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Environmental Impact and Sustainability
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.80
Funders
- National Science Foundation
- Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung
- Division of Chemical, Bioengineering, Environmental, and Transport Systems