A Methodological Exploration: Understanding Building Density and Flood Susceptibility in Urban Areas

Rapid urbanization in developing megacities has exacerbated hydrological imbalances, positioning urban flooding as a major environmental and socio-economic challenge of the twenty-first century. This study investigates the spatial relationship between building density, topography, and flood susceptibility in Jakarta, Indonesia—one of the most flood-prone urban regions globally. Employing geospatial analysis and spatial autocorrelation techniques, the research assesses how variations in land-use concentration and elevation influence the spatial clustering of flood vulnerability. The analytical framework integrates multiple spatial datasets, including Digital Elevation Models (DEMs), building footprint densities, and flood hazard maps, within a Geographic Information System (GIS) environment. Spatial statistical measures, specifically Moran’s I and Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA), are utilized to quantify and visualize patterns of flood susceptibility. The findings reveal that zones characterized by high building density and low elevation form statistically significant clusters of heightened flood risk, particularly within the southern and eastern subdistricts of Jakarta. The study concludes that incorporating spatially explicit and statistically rigorous methodologies enhances the accuracy of flood-risk assessments and supports evidence-based strategies for sustainable urban development and resilience planning.