Deep Learning Improves the MAGGIC Risk Score in Predicting Contrast-Induced Nephropathy in ST Elevation Myocardial Infraction Patients

Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is a serious complication in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI). Early identification of high-risk patients is essential to improve outcomes and reduce mortality. The Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) risk score was originally designed to predict mortality in heart failure patients, but its role in predicting CIN has not been fully explored. In the present retrospective study, 1403 STEMI patients treated with pPCI were analyzed. Those who developed CIN had higher mortality, longer hospital stays, and more comorbidities. The MAGGIC score and 21 clinical parameters were incorporated into deep learning (DL) models, including multilayer perceptrons, TabNet, TabTransformer, and Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) and one machine learning algorithm such as logistic regression. The best-performing model, KAN, significantly improved CIN prediction with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.92. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis revealed key predictors such as pain-to-balloon time, contrast volume, baseline creatinine, and MAGGIC score. Our findings demonstrate that combining MAGGIC risk scoring with DL substantially enhances CIN prediction in STEMI patients. This approach enables identification of at-risk individuals and supports implementation of nephroprotective strategies at an early stage. The web-based calculator may assist clinical decision making.

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Journal
Angiology
Published
2025-12-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/00033197251399866
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Acute Kidney Injury Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.43
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article

Deep Learning Improves the MAGGIC Risk Score in Predicting Contrast-Induced Nephropathy in ST Elevation Myocardial Infraction Patients

Görkem Ayhan, Veysi Can, Koray Kalenderoğlu, Tufan Çınar et al.
1 citations
Angiology
Acute Kidney Injury Research
1.43
article

Deep Learning Improves the MAGGIC Risk Score in Predicting Contrast-Induced Nephropathy in ST Elevation Myocardial Infraction Patients

Görkem Ayhan, Veysi Can, Koray Kalenderoğlu, Tufan Çınar, Ahmet Ferhat Kaya, Ömer Kümet, Faysal Şaylık, Remzi Sarıkaya
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is a serious complication in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI). Early identification of high-risk patients is essential to improve outcomes and reduce mortality. The Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) risk score was originally designed to predict mortality in heart failure patients, but its role in predicting CIN has not been fully explored. In the present retrospective study, 1403 STEMI patients treated with pPCI were analyzed. Those who developed CIN had higher mortality, longer hospital stays, and more comorbidities. The MAGGIC score and 21 clinical parameters were incorporated into deep learning (DL) models, including multilayer perceptrons, TabNet, TabTransformer, and Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) and one machine learning algorithm such as logistic regression. The best-performing model, KAN, significantly improved CIN prediction with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.92. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis revealed key predictors such as pain-to-balloon time, contrast volume, baseline creatinine, and MAGGIC score. Our findings demonstrate that combining MAGGIC risk scoring with DL substantially enhances CIN prediction in STEMI patients. This approach enables identification of at-risk individuals and supports implementation of nephroprotective strategies at an early stage. The web-based calculator may assist clinical decision making.

Angiology
University of Maryland, Baltimore (US), Sağlık Bilimleri Üniversitesi (TR), University of Maryland Medical Center Midtown Campus (US), Dr. Siyami Ersek Göğüs Kalp Ve Damar Cerrahisi Eğitim Ve Araştırma Hastanesi (TR)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 13%
Acute Kidney Injury Research
1.43
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