A Generative Paradigm for Environmental Science: From Prediction to Immersive Scenarios for Participatory Stewardship

Humanity faces environmental crises on a scale that demands new scientific paradigms. While valuable, the application of artificial intelligence has largely been confined to a predictive role—a paradigm insufficient for the transformative action now required. We argue for a shift toward a generative framework, repositioning AI from an analytical tool to a facilitator of synthesis and communication. This perspective introduces a vision where advanced generative models, including text-to-video technologies, create dynamic, experiential simulations of designed ecosystems. This allows stakeholders to not only see a proposed design, but also to witness its potential dynamics, such as how a restored forest matures or how green infrastructure responds to climate events. Crucially, this approach empowers AI to act as a representative for non-human species, synthesizing data to visualize their needs. However, I emphasize the critical distinction between photorealistic visual rendering and rigorous biophysical simulation; the former must be grounded in the latter to avoid misleading outcomes. I critically examine the approach's inherent challenges, including the environmental footprint of these models, and argue for an indispensable "expert-in-the-loop" framework to guide and validate these powerful new tools. This paradigm shift has profound implications for scientific methodology and public engagement, heralding an era where interdisciplinary teams leverage AI to visualize, deliberate, and collaboratively shape a resilient planet.

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Publication Details

Journal
Research Ideas and Outcomes
Published
2025-12-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3897/rio.11.e177579
Primary Topic
Innovation, Sustainability, Human-Machine Systems
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

A Generative Paradigm for Environmental Science: From Prediction to Immersive Scenarios for Participatory Stewardship

Hideyuki Doi
Research Ideas and Outcomes
Innovation, Sustainability, Human-Machine Systems
article

A Generative Paradigm for Environmental Science: From Prediction to Immersive Scenarios for Participatory Stewardship

Hideyuki Doi
article en

Abstract

Humanity faces environmental crises on a scale that demands new scientific paradigms. While valuable, the application of artificial intelligence has largely been confined to a predictive role—a paradigm insufficient for the transformative action now required. We argue for a shift toward a generative framework, repositioning AI from an analytical tool to a facilitator of synthesis and communication. This perspective introduces a vision where advanced generative models, including text-to-video technologies, create dynamic, experiential simulations of designed ecosystems. This allows stakeholders to not only see a proposed design, but also to witness its potential dynamics, such as how a restored forest matures or how green infrastructure responds to climate events. Crucially, this approach empowers AI to act as a representative for non-human species, synthesizing data to visualize their needs. However, I emphasize the critical distinction between photorealistic visual rendering and rigorous biophysical simulation; the former must be grounded in the latter to avoid misleading outcomes. I critically examine the approach's inherent challenges, including the environmental footprint of these models, and argue for an indispensable "expert-in-the-loop" framework to guide and validate these powerful new tools. This paradigm shift has profound implications for scientific methodology and public engagement, heralding an era where interdisciplinary teams leverage AI to visualize, deliberate, and collaboratively shape a resilient planet.

Research Ideas and OutcomesVol. 11
Kyoto University (JP), Kyoto College of Graduate Studies for Informatics (JP)
Openalex Percentile: Top 24%
Innovation, Sustainability, Human-Machine Systems
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