Low-Cost Gas Sensing and Machine Learning for Intelligent Refrigeration in the Built Environment

Accurate, real-time monitoring of meat freshness is essential for reducing food waste and safeguarding consumer health, yet conventional methods rely on costly, laboratory-grade spectroscopy or destructive analyses. This work presents a low-cost electronic-nose platform that integrates a compact array of metal-oxide gas sensors (Figaro TGS2602, TGS2603, and Sensirion SGP30) with a Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) model to estimate a continuous freshness index under refrigerated storage. The pipeline includes headspace sensing, baseline normalization and smoothing, history-window feature construction, and probabilistic prediction with uncertainty. Using factorial analysis and response-surface optimization, we identify history length and sampling interval as key design variables; longer temporal windows and faster sampling consistently improve accuracy and stability. The optimized configuration (≈143-min history, ≈3-min sampling) reduces mean absolute error from ~0.51 to ~0.05 on the normalized freshness scale and shifts the error distribution within specification limits, with marked gains in process capability and yield. Although it does not match the analytical precision or long-term robustness of spectrometric approaches, the proposed system offers an interpretable and energy-efficient option for short-term, laboratory-scale monitoring under controlled refrigeration conditions. By enabling probabilistic freshness estimation from low-cost sensors, this GPR-driven e-nose demonstrates a proof-of-concept pathway that could, after further validation under realistic cyclic loads and operational disturbances, support more sustainable meat management in future smart refrigeration and cold-chain applications. This study should be regarded as a methodological, laboratory-scale proof-of-concept that does not demonstrate real-world performance or operational deployment. The technical implications described herein are hypothetical and require extensive validation under realistic refrigeration conditions.