Study on Erosion and Siltation Change of Macrotidal Estuary in Mountain Stream: The Case of Jiao (Ling) River, China

A macrotidal estuary with mountain-stream inputs (MEMSs) is characterized by strong hydrodynamic forcing, high turbidity, and complex channel morphology. This study combines field measurements (2005–2020) with a 2D hydrodynamic–sediment model to examine estuarine turbidity maximum (ETM) dynamics, erosion–deposition patterns, and the effects of engineering interventions in the Jiaojiang Estuary (JJE). Results show that the coupled influence of upstream floods and downstream macrotides produces highly seasonal and spatially variable water–sediment processes: mountain-stream floods exhibit sharp hydrodynamic fluctuations, and the estuary displays pronounced tidal-wave deformation. Over the 15-year observation period, the riverbed experienced alternating erosion (up to −3.5 m) and deposition (up to +4.2 m), with net erosion of 0.5–1.2 m occurring in most Ling River sections during high-discharge years. The ETM migrated about 30 km during spring tides, with near-bed suspended sediment concentrations reaching 50–60 kg/m3. Human activities—particularly historical sand mining—modified channel geometry and sediment composition, intensifying the exchange between bed material and suspended sediment and facilitating the formation and migration of the ETM. Extreme events further enhanced geomorphic adjustment: the post-Lekima (2019) flood produced maximum scour of −5.8 m in the upper Ling River and deposition of +3.2 m in the Jiaojiang main channel within weeks. Channel curvature and junction morphology strongly controlled flood-level distribution. Model experiments indicate that lowering shoal elevations and widening the cross-section at key constrictions can effectively reduce flood levels. Collectively, these findings clarify the morphodynamic evolution mechanisms of a MEMS system and provide quantitative guidance for flood-mitigation and estuarine-management strategies.