Projecting tuberculosis control progress in metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas of Brazil, 2001–2035: a Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis
Metropolitan areas are projected to experience substantial increases in PTB incidence, while non-metropolitan regions are expected to stabilize at persistently high levels, particularly among men. The findings indicate that current TB control efforts in Brazil need to be strengthened for the country to meet the 2035 targets, especially in metropolitan areas.
Authors
- Mauro Niskier Sanchez (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0472-1804)
- Fredi Alexander Díaz-Quijano (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1134-1930)
- José Mário Nunes da Silva (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6674-0939)
- Walter Massa Ramalho (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5085-5670)
Institutions
- Universidade de Brasília (BR)
- Universidade de São Paulo (BR)
- Brazilian Society of Tropical Medicine (BR)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Infectious Diseases of Poverty
- Published
- 2025-12-22
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1186/s40249-025-01400-x
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Tuberculosis Research and Epidemiology
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.40
Funders
- Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico