Reversal Trends in Shallow‐Soil Temperature Over the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau During 1950–2014

Abstract Soil temperature changes over the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau (QTP) exert considerable influence on regional climate. Here, we identify a distinct reversal from cooling during 1950–1983 (−0.169°C decade −1 ) to significant warming during 1984–2014 (0.388°C decade −1 ), exceeding the global average by 29%–87%. The early cooling period was mainly driven by interactions between greenhouse gases (GHG) and aerosols (AER), with AER exerting a dominant cooling influence. After 1984, the GHG contribution increased from 11.2%–29% to 40%–47.9%, leading to accelerated warming. The influence of interactions was strongly modulated by the relative dominance of GHG and AER, acting as a critical factor in the reversal and amplification of shallow‐soil temperature trend across the QTP. These findings highlight the sensitivity of high‐altitude soil thermal regimes to shifts in anthropogenic forcing.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2025-12-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl117623
Primary Topic
Climate change and permafrost
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Reversal Trends in Shallow‐Soil Temperature Over the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau During 1950–2014

Tangnyu Song, Zhenyao Shen, Zhao Xiao-hu, Wenchang Tang et al.
Geophysical Research Letters
Climate change and permafrost
article

Reversal Trends in Shallow‐Soil Temperature Over the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau During 1950–2014

Tangnyu Song, Zhenyao Shen, Zhao Xiao-hu, Wenchang Tang, Guohe Huang, Chuyin Tian, Yue Wang, Yongping Li
article en

Abstract

Abstract Soil temperature changes over the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau (QTP) exert considerable influence on regional climate. Here, we identify a distinct reversal from cooling during 1950–1983 (−0.169°C decade −1 ) to significant warming during 1984–2014 (0.388°C decade −1 ), exceeding the global average by 29%–87%. The early cooling period was mainly driven by interactions between greenhouse gases (GHG) and aerosols (AER), with AER exerting a dominant cooling influence. After 1984, the GHG contribution increased from 11.2%–29% to 40%–47.9%, leading to accelerated warming. The influence of interactions was strongly modulated by the relative dominance of GHG and AER, acting as a critical factor in the reversal and amplification of shallow‐soil temperature trend across the QTP. These findings highlight the sensitivity of high‐altitude soil thermal regimes to shifts in anthropogenic forcing.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 52(24)
University of Waterloo (CA), University of Regina (CA), Beijing Normal University (CN), Zhengzhou University (CN), State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control (CN), Stony Brook University (US)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 33%
Climate change and permafrost
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