An Integrated Artificial Intelligence Tool for Predicting and Managing Project Risks

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is increasingly used to enhance project management practices, especially in risk analysis, where traditional tools often lack predictive capabilities. This study introduces an AI-based tool that supports project teams in identifying and interpreting risks through machine learning and integrated documentation features. A synthetic dataset of 5000 project instances was generated using deterministic rules across 27 input variables, enabling the training of multi-output Decision Tree and Random Forest models to predict risk type, impact, probability, and response strategy. Due to the rule-based structure of the dataset, both models achieved near-perfect classification performance, with Random Forest showing slightly better regression accuracy. These results validate the modelling pipeline but should not be interpreted as real-world predictive accuracy. The trained models were deployed within a web platform offering prediction visualization, automated PDF reporting, result storage, and access to a structured risk management plan template. Survey feedback highlights strong user interest in AI-assisted mitigation suggestions, dashboards, notifications, and mobile access. The findings demonstrate the potential of AI to improve proactive risk assessment and decision-making in project environments.

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Publication Details

Journal
Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction
Published
2025-12-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/make8010001
Primary Topic
Construction Project Management and Performance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

An Integrated Artificial Intelligence Tool for Predicting and Managing Project Risks

Andreea Geamanu, Maria-Iuliana Dascălu, Ana-Maria Neagu, Raluca Ioana Guica
Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction
Construction Project Management and Performance
article

An Integrated Artificial Intelligence Tool for Predicting and Managing Project Risks

Andreea Geamanu, Maria-Iuliana Dascălu, Ana-Maria Neagu, Raluca Ioana Guica
article en

Abstract

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is increasingly used to enhance project management practices, especially in risk analysis, where traditional tools often lack predictive capabilities. This study introduces an AI-based tool that supports project teams in identifying and interpreting risks through machine learning and integrated documentation features. A synthetic dataset of 5000 project instances was generated using deterministic rules across 27 input variables, enabling the training of multi-output Decision Tree and Random Forest models to predict risk type, impact, probability, and response strategy. Due to the rule-based structure of the dataset, both models achieved near-perfect classification performance, with Random Forest showing slightly better regression accuracy. These results validate the modelling pipeline but should not be interpreted as real-world predictive accuracy. The trained models were deployed within a web platform offering prediction visualization, automated PDF reporting, result storage, and access to a structured risk management plan template. Survey feedback highlights strong user interest in AI-assisted mitigation suggestions, dashboards, notifications, and mobile access. The findings demonstrate the potential of AI to improve proactive risk assessment and decision-making in project environments.

Machine Learning and Knowledge ExtractionVol. 8(1)
Institut de Cancérologie de Bourgogne (FR), Universitatea Națională de Știință și Tehnologie Politehnica București (RO)
Openalex Percentile: Top 30%
Construction Project Management and Performance
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An Integrated Artificial Intelligence Tool for Predicting and Managing Project Risks — Andreea Geamanu, Maria-Iuliana Dascălu, et al. · Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS