Digitalization and innovation in secondary education: future scenarios

The digital transformation of educational systems is a process that cannot be approached solely from an instrumental (devices and infrastructure) or economic (investment) perspective. Educational innovation requires a comprehensive cultural shift within institutions, affecting the identity and roles of all educational community members, including students, teachers, and administrators. To identify key elements for designing future education, a Delphi study was conducted with the participation of secondary education teachers (n = 20). Based on the results, three social science fiction vignettes were developed and subsequently evaluated by experts, each illustrating a plausible future scenario within different educational spheres: the classroom (SkoolaClass), institutional settings (Skoola), and the broader societal context outside the educational system (Teenet). This prospective vision of educational phenomena is rigorously contrasted with research findings, adding credibility to the narratives. These narratives could serve as essential tools for strategic planning, supporting the long-term development and adaptation of educational systems to evolving societal needs.