Real-Time Evaluation Model for Urban Transportation Network Resilience Based on Ride-Hailing Data

The resilience of urban transportation networks refers to the system’s ability to resist, absorb, and recover performance when facing external shocks. Traditional methods have obvious limitations in temporal granularity, data fusion, and predictive capabilities. To address this, this study proposes a minute-level real-time resilience measurement model driven by ride-hailing big data. First, the spatio-temporal characteristics of urban ride-hailing data are analyzed, and a transportation cost indicator is introduced to construct a multidimensional road network resilience measurement framework encompassing transport supply–demand, efficiency, and cost. Second, a high-precision hybrid LSTM-Transformer prediction model integrating spatio-temporal attention mechanism is developed, and a time-varying node identification method based on RMSE curves is proposed to accurately capture the disturbance onset time and recovery completion time. Finally, empirical validation shows that, taking Taixing City as an example, the model achieves minute-level resilience measurement with an average prediction accuracy of 96.8%, making resilience assessment more precise and sensitive. The research results provide a scientific basis for urban traffic management departments to formulate emergency response strategies and improve road network recovery efficiency.