Cyclic Variations in the Mean Recurrence Times of Solar Flares in Active Regions

The recurrence times RT (also known as waiting times) of solar flares in active regions in soft X-rays are studied using GOES satellite data from 1998 to 2025. It is shown that the RT distribution is fairly well approximated by a lognormal distribution. Based on grouped samples, changes in three types of average values of log RT distributions over time are studied. From these studies, it can be concluded that the average logarithms of recurrence times, regardless of the method of calculation, show variations similar to variations in sunspot numbers SSN; mean RT values vary between 110 and 280 min.

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Publication Details

Journal
Astronomy Letters
Published
2025-05-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1134/s1063773725700409
Primary Topic
Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Cyclic Variations in the Mean Recurrence Times of Solar Flares in Active Regions

Astronomy Letters
Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
article

Cyclic Variations in the Mean Recurrence Times of Solar Flares in Active Regions

article en

Abstract

The recurrence times RT (also known as waiting times) of solar flares in active regions in soft X-rays are studied using GOES satellite data from 1998 to 2025. It is shown that the RT distribution is fairly well approximated by a lognormal distribution. Based on grouped samples, changes in three types of average values of log RT distributions over time are studied. From these studies, it can be concluded that the average logarithms of recurrence times, regardless of the method of calculation, show variations similar to variations in sunspot numbers SSN; mean RT values vary between 110 and 280 min.

Astronomy LettersVol. 51(5)
Saint Petersburg State University of Aerospace and Instrumentation (RU), Pulkovo Observatory (RU), Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism Ionosphere and Radio Wave Propagation (RU)
Openalex Percentile: Top 33%
Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
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Cyclic Variations in the Mean Recurrence Times of Solar Flares in Active Regions · Astronomy Letters (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS