Quantum Computing in 2035

This paper provides a comprehensive, evidence-based projection of quantum computing capabilities by 2035, with particular focus on qubit counts, error correction advances, and commercial viability. Through analysis of industry roadmaps, recent technological breakthroughs, and expert predictions, we project that quantum computers in 2035 will feature: Physical Qubits: 100,000 to 1,000,000+ physical qubits in leading systems Logical Qubits: 1,000 to 10,000 error-corrected logical qubits Error Rates: Logical error rates below 10⁻⁹ per operation Commercial Status: Multiple platforms achieving fault-tolerant quantum computing with real-world applications Market Size: $28-72 billion quantum computing market (McKinsey estimate) This analysis examines current technological trajectories, the critical December 2024 Google Willow breakthrough, scaling challenges, and the convergence of multiple quantum computing platforms toward practical utility.

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2025-12-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17969366
Primary Topic
Quantum Computing Algorithms and Architecture
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Quantum Computing in 2035

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Quantum Computing Algorithms and Architecture
article

Quantum Computing in 2035

article en

Abstract

This paper provides a comprehensive, evidence-based projection of quantum computing capabilities by 2035, with particular focus on qubit counts, error correction advances, and commercial viability. Through analysis of industry roadmaps, recent technological breakthroughs, and expert predictions, we project that quantum computers in 2035 will feature: Physical Qubits: 100,000 to 1,000,000+ physical qubits in leading systems Logical Qubits: 1,000 to 10,000 error-corrected logical qubits Error Rates: Logical error rates below 10⁻⁹ per operation Commercial Status: Multiple platforms achieving fault-tolerant quantum computing with real-world applications Market Size: $28-72 billion quantum computing market (McKinsey estimate) This analysis examines current technological trajectories, the critical December 2024 Google Willow breakthrough, scaling challenges, and the convergence of multiple quantum computing platforms toward practical utility.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 19%
Quantum Computing Algorithms and Architecture
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