Land Suitability Assessment and Gap Analysis for Sustainable Taro (Colocasia esculenta (L.) Schott) Production in Rwanda Using Remote Sensing Data and a Fuzzy AHP Model

Taro (Colocasia esculenta (L.) Schott) is a nutritionally important and climate-resilient crop with high potential for enhancing food security. Despite its significance, taro remains underutilized and excluded from major agricultural policies in Rwanda, resulting in low national yields. This gap hinders evidence-based planning and limits the crop contribution to resilience amidst population growth and climate change. By taking Rwanda as an example, a worldwide top 10 taro-producing country but still facing food insecurity issues, this study conducted a nationwide land suitability assessment to identify optimal areas for taro cultivation and quantify the production gap. The Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) model was integrated with GIS, where climatic, topographic, and a remotely sensed soil dataset were weighted and combined to generate a composite suitability index. Results revealed that 22.8% of Rwanda’s land is highly suitable (S1) and 55.7% is moderately suitable (S2) for taro cultivation. Within agricultural land, 30.2% is highly suitable, of which a significant portion (28.7%) remains largely underutilized, especially in the Eastern province. The national production gap was estimated at 32.4%, with over half of the districts exceeding 30%. The study highlights the importance of aligning taro cultivation with biophysical suitability and integrating spatial planning into national agricultural policies. The developed suitability map provides a critical decision-support tool for policymakers, agricultural planners, and extension services. By promoting sustainable taro production, improving farmer livelihoods and food security in Rwanda, it provides a global model for sustainable development for developing countries and advances research on orphan crops such as taro. The methodology offers a replicable framework for evaluating underutilized crops globally, contributing to sustainable agricultural diversification and food security.