Key logistics trends up to 2040 and their impact on host nation support logistics

Abstract In the 2020s, logistics support structures are sourced from a combination of civilian contractors, governmental institutions and/or the host nation’s military component. Consequently, the maturity of the support correlates with the host nation’s logistics capabilities. This study aims to examine the trends that will affect the host nation support (HNS) operational environment in Finland over the next 20 years from the logistics point of view. This entails focusing on the logistics trends that have an interactive relationship with both civil society logistics and the host nation’s military logistics. The trend analysis is based on a literature review and semi-structured interviews. Regarding the study’s empirical Finnish perspective, the trend research was conducted using the PESTE framework when interviewing Finnish logistics experts, and the integrated results are presented through the PESTE dimensions. According to the findings from the literature review and interviews, the existing trends have a multi-tier influence on Finnish logistics. The HNS logistics environment in Finland is evolving towards more sustainable and digital practices when looking ahead to 2040. In this kind of environment, much depends on supply chain managers, both civilian and military, when it comes to ensuring a sufficiently resilient logistics-operating environment.