Identification of inflammation markers as novel potential predictors of the HIV-DNA reservoir size

The dynamics of the HIV reservoir during antiretroviral therapy (ART) exhibit variability, with a pronounced decline during the initial years of treatment. However, the identification of biomarkers and host factors associated with the decay of the different forms of HIV proviruses remains to be fully elucidated. We conducted a longitudinal study on people with HIV provided by the Spanish National HIV cohort. We assessed the HIV-DNA levels by Intact Proviral DNA Assay, and inflammatory markers using the Proximity Extension Assay, before and after ART initiation. A multivariate linear regression model was employed to identify potential predictive markers. Our results highlight the identification of novel inflammatory markers, such as ADA, DNER, CDCP1, SCF, among others, that varied significantly over ART initiation. In addition, we observed several markers associated with intact HIV-DNA before ART initiation (CD8A, CX3CL1, and ST1A1) or during undetectable viral load post-ART (IL-10). Moreover, up to five markers were able to predict the intact HIV reservoir decay over ART. The strongest predictor was Stem Cell Factor (SCF), where higher baseline levels of this marker were associated with a greater decline in the intact HIV reservoir. In conclusion, we have identified inflammatory markers associated with the size and dynamics of the HIV-DNA reservoir. These findings provide new insights that could contribute to the development of multi-targeted intervention strategies aimed at modulating or monitoring the HIV reservoir size.