The impact of disasters on economic growth in selected Southern Africa development community countries

This research study explores the impact of disasters on economic growth in selected Southern Africa Development Community countries. Annual data from 2005 to 2019 and panel data econometric estimation techniques are used in this study. The estimation approaches used control for both pooled and individual effects, heteroscedasticity, serial correlation, moderate levels of endogeneity and cross-sectional dependence (CSD). We found that although the impact of disasters on economic growth may be negative contemporaneously, reconstruction and recovery activities if well-resourced could facilitate building back better, which could ultimately lead to positive outcomes on economic growth a year after the disaster. We further tested the hypothesis in existing literature and confirm that quality institutions, favourable financial conditions and adequate access to international markets enhance a country's coping and adaptive capabilities to disasters, thereby reducing the country's level of risk to disasters.

Publication Details

Journal
Human Science Research Council SA
Published
2025-12-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.14749/30832949
Primary Topic
Disaster Management and Resilience
Type
article
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The impact of disasters on economic growth in selected Southern Africa development community countries

Human Science Research Council SA
Disaster Management and Resilience
article

The impact of disasters on economic growth in selected Southern Africa development community countries

article en

Abstract

This research study explores the impact of disasters on economic growth in selected Southern Africa Development Community countries. Annual data from 2005 to 2019 and panel data econometric estimation techniques are used in this study. The estimation approaches used control for both pooled and individual effects, heteroscedasticity, serial correlation, moderate levels of endogeneity and cross-sectional dependence (CSD). We found that although the impact of disasters on economic growth may be negative contemporaneously, reconstruction and recovery activities if well-resourced could facilitate building back better, which could ultimately lead to positive outcomes on economic growth a year after the disaster. We further tested the hypothesis in existing literature and confirm that quality institutions, favourable financial conditions and adequate access to international markets enhance a country's coping and adaptive capabilities to disasters, thereby reducing the country's level of risk to disasters.

Human Science Research Council SA
Openalex Percentile: Top 29%
Disaster Management and Resilience
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