Atmospheric Blocks Increase the Odds of Extreme Wildfire Danger at High Latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere

Recent years have seen severe wildfires in the Northern Hemisphere. This study statistically links atmospheric blocks to extreme fire weather () and observed fires (OF) across seasons from 1979 to 2020. Based on co‐location and odds ratio statistics, we find that a substantial part of co‐occurs with blocks. In areas where blocks occur regularly, blocks increase the odds of by a factor of 4–5, with up to a 30‐fold increase locally. The link between blocks and is stronger at latitudes north of 50N, but exhibits regional and seasonal variations. We also find a significant link between blocks and OF in the Arctic regions during summer. This study reveals new links between atmospheric blocks and wildfire danger.

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Publication Details

Journal
Open Access CRIS of the University of Bern
Published
2025-11-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.48620/92852
Primary Topic
Fire effects on ecosystems
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Atmospheric Blocks Increase the Odds of Extreme Wildfire Danger at High Latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere

Open Access CRIS of the University of Bern
Fire effects on ecosystems
article

Atmospheric Blocks Increase the Odds of Extreme Wildfire Danger at High Latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere

article en

Abstract

Recent years have seen severe wildfires in the Northern Hemisphere. This study statistically links atmospheric blocks to extreme fire weather () and observed fires (OF) across seasons from 1979 to 2020. Based on co‐location and odds ratio statistics, we find that a substantial part of co‐occurs with blocks. In areas where blocks occur regularly, blocks increase the odds of by a factor of 4–5, with up to a 30‐fold increase locally. The link between blocks and is stronger at latitudes north of 50N, but exhibits regional and seasonal variations. We also find a significant link between blocks and OF in the Arctic regions during summer. This study reveals new links between atmospheric blocks and wildfire danger.

Open Access CRIS of the University of Bern
V. B. Sochava Institute of Geography (RU), Institute of Geography (KZ), Institute of Geography of the Slovak Academy of Sciences (SK)
Openalex Percentile: Top 42%
Fire effects on ecosystems
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