Randomised postiterations for calibrated BayesCG

The Bayesian conjugate gradient method offers probabilistic solutions to linear systems but suffers from poor calibration, limiting its utility in uncertainty quantification tasks. Recent approaches leveraging postiterations to construct priors have improved computational properties but failed to correct calibration issues. In this work, we propose a novel randomised postiteration strategy that enhances the calibration of the BayesCG posterior while preserving its favourable convergence characteristics. We present theoretical guarantees for the improved calibration, supported by results on the distribution of posterior errors. Numerical experiments demonstrate the efficacy of the method in both synthetic and inverse problem settings, showing enhanced uncertainty quantification and better propagation of uncertainties through computational pipelines.

Publication Details

Journal
ePrints Soton (University of Southampton)
Published
2025-09-01
Primary Topic
Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Randomised postiterations for calibrated BayesCG

ePrints Soton (University of Southampton)
Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference
article

Randomised postiterations for calibrated BayesCG

article en

Abstract

The Bayesian conjugate gradient method offers probabilistic solutions to linear systems but suffers from poor calibration, limiting its utility in uncertainty quantification tasks. Recent approaches leveraging postiterations to construct priors have improved computational properties but failed to correct calibration issues. In this work, we propose a novel randomised postiteration strategy that enhances the calibration of the BayesCG posterior while preserving its favourable convergence characteristics. We present theoretical guarantees for the improved calibration, supported by results on the distribution of posterior errors. Numerical experiments demonstrate the efficacy of the method in both synthetic and inverse problem settings, showing enhanced uncertainty quantification and better propagation of uncertainties through computational pipelines.

ePrints Soton (University of Southampton)
UK Research and Innovation, Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
No poverty
Openalex Percentile: Top 21%
Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference
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