Modeling the Distribution of Tariff Revenue to Firms within a Partial Equilibrium Framework

In this paper, I expand upon the current partial equilibrium modeling literature by discussing how to incorporate the distribution of tariff revenue to firms into these models. Rather than assume all firms are identical, I model firms as having a continuum of heterogeneous productivities, so that model users can compute equilibrium results on the fraction of firms that enter or leave the market in any given counterfactual situation. I then solve the model under various counterfactual scenarios given theoretical parameter choices, and illustrate the ways in which modeling outcomes are sensitive to parameter values. While this paper’s simulations do not use any real-world data or correspond to any real-world countries, its calibration and estimation discussion takes into account current data limitations and practical challenges in solving the model.

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Staff Working Papers: U.S. International Trade Commission
Published
2025-11-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.71476/xa77-7119
Primary Topic
Global trade and economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Modeling the Distribution of Tariff Revenue to Firms within a Partial Equilibrium Framework

Staff Working Papers: U.S. International Trade Commission
Global trade and economics
article

Modeling the Distribution of Tariff Revenue to Firms within a Partial Equilibrium Framework

article en

Abstract

In this paper, I expand upon the current partial equilibrium modeling literature by discussing how to incorporate the distribution of tariff revenue to firms into these models. Rather than assume all firms are identical, I model firms as having a continuum of heterogeneous productivities, so that model users can compute equilibrium results on the fraction of firms that enter or leave the market in any given counterfactual situation. I then solve the model under various counterfactual scenarios given theoretical parameter choices, and illustrate the ways in which modeling outcomes are sensitive to parameter values. While this paper’s simulations do not use any real-world data or correspond to any real-world countries, its calibration and estimation discussion takes into account current data limitations and practical challenges in solving the model.

Staff Working Papers: U.S. International Trade Commission
United States International Trade Commission (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 31%
Global trade and economics
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.