Revenues at Risk and Mitigation Strategies for Solar PV Plants in Times of Negative Electricity Prices

The European PV market is entering a new phase as negative electricity prices increasingly overlap with midday solar generation, shifting market risk back to producers. With subsidy-free business models and corporate PPAs expanding while traditional support schemes contract, project revenues and financing conditions are becoming more constrained. Mitigation strategies can help manage these challenges, though their effectiveness varies. Options such as revenue-oriented system design and PV–storage integration can reduce exposure to low or negative prices, but they typically involve cost trade-offs and uncertain returns, often requiring multiple revenue streams to ensure profitability. Beyond enhancing competitiveness, these measures are becoming critical for project feasibility. By supporting financing, securing grid access, and strengthening debt service resilience, they can determine whether PV projects are viable at all. As European electricity markets evolve, the capacity to implement effective mitigation strategies will be central to sustaining the growth and resilience of solar deployment.

Publication Details

Journal
Open Research (University of Surrey)
Published
2025-11-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.4229/eupvsec2025/5eo.3.3
Primary Topic
Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Revenues at Risk and Mitigation Strategies for Solar PV Plants in Times of Negative Electricity Prices

Open Research (University of Surrey)
Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
article

Revenues at Risk and Mitigation Strategies for Solar PV Plants in Times of Negative Electricity Prices

article en

Abstract

The European PV market is entering a new phase as negative electricity prices increasingly overlap with midday solar generation, shifting market risk back to producers. With subsidy-free business models and corporate PPAs expanding while traditional support schemes contract, project revenues and financing conditions are becoming more constrained. Mitigation strategies can help manage these challenges, though their effectiveness varies. Options such as revenue-oriented system design and PV–storage integration can reduce exposure to low or negative prices, but they typically involve cost trade-offs and uncertain returns, often requiring multiple revenue streams to ensure profitability. Beyond enhancing competitiveness, these measures are becoming critical for project feasibility. By supporting financing, securing grid access, and strengthening debt service resilience, they can determine whether PV projects are viable at all. As European electricity markets evolve, the capacity to implement effective mitigation strategies will be central to sustaining the growth and resilience of solar deployment.

Open Research (University of Surrey)
Openalex Percentile: Top 48%
Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
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Revenues at Risk and Mitigation Strategies for Solar PV Plants in Times of Negative Electricity Prices · Open Research (University of Surrey) (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS