International Risk Sharing and Wealth Allocation with Higher Order Cumulants

We study international risk sharing across countries differing in size, openness, and productivity distributions, emphasizing fat tails. In a canonical IRBC model, safer economies benefit through asset and terms-of-trade revaluations, while riskier ones smooth consumption at the cost of lower wealth. Calibrated to non-Gaussian shocks, country size and openness, the model predicts welfare gains between 0.03% and 6.9% of permanent consumption (median 6%). Assuming Gaussian shocks reduces gains by about 2 percentage points, while assuming equal country size and no home bias renders them negligible. Clustering economies by openness, size, and higher moments accounts for the cross-country distribution of gains.

Publication Details

Journal
Apollo (University of Cambridge)
Published
2024-08-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.17863/cam.112110.2
Primary Topic
Global Financial Crisis and Policies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

International Risk Sharing and Wealth Allocation with Higher Order Cumulants

Apollo (University of Cambridge)
Global Financial Crisis and Policies
article

International Risk Sharing and Wealth Allocation with Higher Order Cumulants

article en

Abstract

We study international risk sharing across countries differing in size, openness, and productivity distributions, emphasizing fat tails. In a canonical IRBC model, safer economies benefit through asset and terms-of-trade revaluations, while riskier ones smooth consumption at the cost of lower wealth. Calibrated to non-Gaussian shocks, country size and openness, the model predicts welfare gains between 0.03% and 6.9% of permanent consumption (median 6%). Assuming Gaussian shocks reduces gains by about 2 percentage points, while assuming equal country size and no home bias renders them negligible. Clustering economies by openness, size, and higher moments accounts for the cross-country distribution of gains.

Apollo (University of Cambridge)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 41%
Global Financial Crisis and Policies
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International Risk Sharing and Wealth Allocation with Higher Order Cumulants · Apollo (University of Cambridge) (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS