EVALUATING ELECTION RESULTS IN TÜRKİYE AFTER SEPTEMBER 12 BASED ON MACROECONOMIC DATA

Abstract This study examines the parliamentary elections held in Türkiye from 1983 to the present (1983, 1987, 1991, 1995, 1999, 2002, 2007, 2011, 2015 June-November general elections, and the 2018 and 2023 parliamentary elections held after the transition to the presidential system in 2017) have been evaluated based on macroeconomic data such as inflation, unemployment rate, and economic growth performance. The study aims to create a statistical table and analysis of the conditions under which three different scenarios emerge: the consolidation of power by ruling party, the maintenance of power despite losing strength, and a change in power. In this sense, the study exhibits the characteristics of numerical research based on statistical data. The study concludes that, in Türkiye, ruling governments must achieve a minimum level of economic success to maintain or strengthen their power, and if they fail to do so, the public may turn to changing the government. The numerical findings related to this will be detailed in the research.