ASSESSMENT OF THE RELIABILITY OF ENGINEERING SYSTEMS WITH ACCOUNT FORECASTINGting

The article considers the problem of assessing the reliability of building engineering systems using methods of queuing theory and Markov process theory. A mathematical model is proposed that allows analyzing the performance indicators of various engineering systems, including water, heat and power supply systems, as well as ventilation and air conditioning systems. The model is based on determining the probabilistic characteristics of failures and restorations of system components, as well as calculating the cost rates associated with ensuring normal functioning. Particular attention is paid to improving energy efficiency and reducing economic losses in the event of accidents and breakdowns of engineering systems. Practical recommendations are provided to reduce risks and improve the sustainability of building infrastructure systems. A comparative analysis of domestic analogues of software for building information management (BIM technologies) is carried out, promising areas for the development of information models of engineering systems are identified. The research results allow optimizing the processes of planning, design and operation of modern buildings and structures. Approaches to choosing the optimal strategy for technical maintenance and modernization of engineering systems throughout the life cycle of a building are substantiated. The study is aimed at design engineers, builders and specialists involved in property management.