Annual and Interannual Oscillations of Greenland’s Ice Sheet Mass Variations from GRACE/GRACE-FO, Linked with Climatic Indices and Meteorological Parameters

The ongoing global warming threatens the Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS), which has exhibited an overall mass loss since 1990. This loss varies annually and interannually, reflecting the intricate interactions between the ice sheet and atmospheric and oceanic circulations. We investigate GIS mass balance variations (2002–2024) using data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and its Follow-On (GRACE-FO) missions. Monthly mass anomalies from the International Combination Service for Time-variable Gravity Fields (COST-G) solution are compared with cumulative climate indices (North Atlantic Oscillation—NAO, Greenland Blocking Index—GBI, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation—AMO) and meteorological parameters (temperature, precipitation, surface albedo). Empirical Orthogonal Function analysis reveals five principal modes of variations, the first capturing annual and interannual frequencies (4–7 and 11 years), while subsequent modes only describe interannual frequencies. Wavelet analysis shows significant annual correlations between GIS mass changes and temperature (r = −0.88), NAO (r = 0.74), and GBI (r = −0.85). An annual cycle connects GIS mass changes, climatic indices, and meteorological parameters, while interannual variations highlight the role of the AMO and the NAO. The presence of an 11-year periodicity with the mass variations for NAO, GBI, and temperature strongly correlates with solar activity.