THEORETICAL ASPECTS OF FORECASTING ORGANIZATION MILITARY AND POLITICAL SITUATION

The article presents the main stages of developing a forecast of the military-political situation. The authors raises the important issue of the frequency of forecasting the military-political situation. To ensure the adequacy of the built models and the reliability of the developed forecasts, an approach to the organization of experts' work is proposed. If implemented, the recommendations will allow for a more thorough organization of forecasting the military-political situation, make this process continuous and cyclical, and streamline the work of experts in developing forecasts, which will positively affect the reliability of the forecasts being developed.