Uncovering the importance of spatiotemporal resolution in satellite-based rice yield estimation using a simple but effective proxy

• High resolution NIRvP accum distinguishes rice yields of neighboring fields. • Low resolution can underestimate rice yields beyond inter-annual differences. • Yield estimation needs high resolution to capture VI magnitude and peak timing. • Enhanced spatial detail reduces mixed pixel effects in small farms. Accurate crop yield mapping is essential for assessing climate change impacts on agriculture and identifying yield gaps. While high spatiotemporal resolution satellite products such as Planet Fusion (PF) with daily 3 m resolution imagery, offer new opportunities for detailed crop monitoring, the impact of the spatiotemporal resolution of satellite data on crop yield estimation remains underexplored. In this study, we create a benchmark dataset consisting of a 3 m resolution rice yield map for a heterogeneous paddy landscape with different cultivars, using PF-based accumulated near-infrared radiation from vegetation (NIRvP accum ) between heading and harvest stages. Comparisons against plot-level rice yield measurements yield an R² of 0.76. We cross-compare yield estimates from other satellite products—MODIS, Sentinel-2, Landsat 8, and a spatial-temporal Savitzky-Golay product—against the PF-based benchmark yield data resampled to relevant coarser spatiotemporal scales. We find that, compared to PF-based yield estimation, lower spatiotemporal resolution leads to higher yield underestimation. Additionally, the downsampled PF data exhibit patterns similar to those observed in the coarser-resolution products. High-spatiotemporal resolution PF data captures peak growth stages more accurately, alleviating the mixed-pixel problem and mitigating nonlinear effects where reflectance-yield relationships deviate from linear scaling. In contrast, coarser-spatiotemporal resolution products, such as Landsat 8 has longer revisit intervals, often miss critical phenological phase transitions (e.g., peak growing season), resulting in substantial yield underestimations compared to PF. Notably, we find that yield underestimations caused by lower spatiotemporal resolutions can surpass inter-annual yield variations. These findings underscore the importance of using satellite imagery with both high spatial resolution and frequent revisits to achieve sufficiently accurate yield estimates in smallholder-dominated, heterogeneous landscapes. By highlighting the trade-offs associated with different satellite-based spatiotemporal resolutions, the study underscores the importance of considering resolution impacts on yield estimation, offering insights for optimizing Earth observation-based agricultural management, particularly in smallholder farming settings.

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Publication Details

Journal
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
Published
2025-10-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110892
Primary Topic
Remote Sensing in Agriculture
Type
article
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article

Uncovering the importance of spatiotemporal resolution in satellite-based rice yield estimation using a simple but effective proxy

Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
Remote Sensing in Agriculture
article

Uncovering the importance of spatiotemporal resolution in satellite-based rice yield estimation using a simple but effective proxy

article en

Abstract

• High resolution NIRvP accum distinguishes rice yields of neighboring fields. • Low resolution can underestimate rice yields beyond inter-annual differences. • Yield estimation needs high resolution to capture VI magnitude and peak timing. • Enhanced spatial detail reduces mixed pixel effects in small farms. Accurate crop yield mapping is essential for assessing climate change impacts on agriculture and identifying yield gaps. While high spatiotemporal resolution satellite products such as Planet Fusion (PF) with daily 3 m resolution imagery, offer new opportunities for detailed crop monitoring, the impact of the spatiotemporal resolution of satellite data on crop yield estimation remains underexplored. In this study, we create a benchmark dataset consisting of a 3 m resolution rice yield map for a heterogeneous paddy landscape with different cultivars, using PF-based accumulated near-infrared radiation from vegetation (NIRvP accum ) between heading and harvest stages. Comparisons against plot-level rice yield measurements yield an R² of 0.76. We cross-compare yield estimates from other satellite products—MODIS, Sentinel-2, Landsat 8, and a spatial-temporal Savitzky-Golay product—against the PF-based benchmark yield data resampled to relevant coarser spatiotemporal scales. We find that, compared to PF-based yield estimation, lower spatiotemporal resolution leads to higher yield underestimation. Additionally, the downsampled PF data exhibit patterns similar to those observed in the coarser-resolution products. High-spatiotemporal resolution PF data captures peak growth stages more accurately, alleviating the mixed-pixel problem and mitigating nonlinear effects where reflectance-yield relationships deviate from linear scaling. In contrast, coarser-spatiotemporal resolution products, such as Landsat 8 has longer revisit intervals, often miss critical phenological phase transitions (e.g., peak growing season), resulting in substantial yield underestimations compared to PF. Notably, we find that yield underestimations caused by lower spatiotemporal resolutions can surpass inter-annual yield variations. These findings underscore the importance of using satellite imagery with both high spatial resolution and frequent revisits to achieve sufficiently accurate yield estimates in smallholder-dominated, heterogeneous landscapes. By highlighting the trade-offs associated with different satellite-based spatiotemporal resolutions, the study underscores the importance of considering resolution impacts on yield estimation, offering insights for optimizing Earth observation-based agricultural management, particularly in smallholder farming settings.

Agricultural and Forest MeteorologyVol. 376
Seoul National University of Science and Technology (KR), Seoul National University (KR), Rural Development Administration (KR), German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (DE), Kyung Hee University (KR), Planet Biotechnology (United States) (US), Leipzig University (DE)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 38%
Remote Sensing in Agriculture
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