How does the common European labor market impact business cycle dynamics?

The common European labor market is creating a unified labor force that, according to economic theory, should smooth business cycles across countries and regions. In the literature, doubts remain about this implication, as labor markets are more rigid and internal migration is weaker in Europe compared to the US. This study presents a novel approach to examining the impact of labor mobility on business cycles in this environment. We incorporate migration decisions and imperfect labor markets into a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework and apply it to empirical data from Eurostat and the German Federal Employment Agency covering the period from 2011 to 2023. Our findings reveal that the common labor market helps to smooth out business cycles as productivity shocks direct labor to where it is needed. However, policymakers should reconsider border control measures, as migration-specific disutility shocks have become more influential since 2015, thereby weakening this channel. • The study examines how intra-EU migrants react to business-cycle fluctuations. • The research suggests that shocks at home primarily impact mobility decisions. • In the paper, the main channel driving mobility operates through productivity. • The analysis reveals an increasing disutility of migration since 2015, as well as during the pandemic. • The findings imply that labor mobility stabilizes home and host countries.

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Publication Details

Journal
Economic Modelling
Published
2025-10-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107350
Primary Topic
Regional resilience and development
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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How does the common European labor market impact business cycle dynamics?

Economic Modelling
Regional resilience and development
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How does the common European labor market impact business cycle dynamics?

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Abstract

The common European labor market is creating a unified labor force that, according to economic theory, should smooth business cycles across countries and regions. In the literature, doubts remain about this implication, as labor markets are more rigid and internal migration is weaker in Europe compared to the US. This study presents a novel approach to examining the impact of labor mobility on business cycles in this environment. We incorporate migration decisions and imperfect labor markets into a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework and apply it to empirical data from Eurostat and the German Federal Employment Agency covering the period from 2011 to 2023. Our findings reveal that the common labor market helps to smooth out business cycles as productivity shocks direct labor to where it is needed. However, policymakers should reconsider border control measures, as migration-specific disutility shocks have become more influential since 2015, thereby weakening this channel. • The study examines how intra-EU migrants react to business-cycle fluctuations. • The research suggests that shocks at home primarily impact mobility decisions. • In the paper, the main channel driving mobility operates through productivity. • The analysis reveals an increasing disutility of migration since 2015, as well as during the pandemic. • The findings imply that labor mobility stabilizes home and host countries.

Economic ModellingVol. 154
Baden-Wuerttemberg Cooperative State University (DE)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 32%
Regional resilience and development
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