Robust Online Sampling from Possibly Moving Target Distributions

We suppose we are given a list of points $x_1, \dots, x_n \in \mathbb{R}$, a target probability measure $μ$ and are asked to add additional points $x_{n+1}, \dots, x_{n+m}$ so that $x_1, \dots, x_{n+m}$ is as close as possible to the distribution of $μ$; additionally, we want this to be true uniformly for all $m$. We propose a simple method that achieves this goal. It selects new points in regions where the existing set is lacking points and avoids regions that are already overly crowded. If we replace $μ$ by another measure $μ_2$ in the middle of the computation, the method dynamically adjusts and allows us to keep the original sampling points. $x_{n+1}$ can be computed in $\mathcal{O}(n)$ steps and we obtain state-of-the-art results. It appears to be an interesting dynamical system in its own right; we analyze a continuous mean-field version that reflects much of the same behavior.

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Publication Details

Journal
ArXiv.org
Published
2025-10-13
Primary Topic
Markov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods
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article
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article

Robust Online Sampling from Possibly Moving Target Distributions

ArXiv.org
Markov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods
article

Robust Online Sampling from Possibly Moving Target Distributions

article en

Abstract

We suppose we are given a list of points $x_1, \dots, x_n \in \mathbb{R}$, a target probability measure $μ$ and are asked to add additional points $x_{n+1}, \dots, x_{n+m}$ so that $x_1, \dots, x_{n+m}$ is as close as possible to the distribution of $μ$; additionally, we want this to be true uniformly for all $m$. We propose a simple method that achieves this goal. It selects new points in regions where the existing set is lacking points and avoids regions that are already overly crowded. If we replace $μ$ by another measure $μ_2$ in the middle of the computation, the method dynamically adjusts and allows us to keep the original sampling points. $x_{n+1}$ can be computed in $\mathcal{O}(n)$ steps and we obtain state-of-the-art results. It appears to be an interesting dynamical system in its own right; we analyze a continuous mean-field version that reflects much of the same behavior.

ArXiv.org
University of Washington (US), Seattle University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 38%
Markov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods
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