A Data-Driven Environmental Model Closes the HerS-3 Mass Budget Without a Localized SE Halo

We present a comprehensive analysis of the HerS-3 gravitational lens system using data-driven environmental modeling. With zl≈1.0, zs=3.0607, θE=3.7′′, ME=5.728 × 1012M⊙,Mb=4.563 × 1012M⊙, and κext=0.1876 ± 0.0246, we obtain κmin = 0.0158 (Excellent; 0.040at 1σ). Our decision thresholds (Excellent if κmin ≤ 0.30; Good if 0.30 < κmin ≤ 0.40)are anchored in mock simulations spanning 100 analogs. Head-to-head model comparisonfavors our approach: ∆AIC= −3.8, ∆BIC= −2.1 relative to the SE-halo model. Extensivestability tests (κext depth/R-cut variations, Mb systematics including IMF/M/L/dust/PSF,local-environment member reattribution, and joint {κext, Mb, ME} prior sweeps) confirmrobustness.Shear priors are anchored in weak-lensing studies of similar environments.Statistical caveats are explicit: shear-LOS alignment shows only weak evidence (Rayleighp=0.21). Full reproducibility package with masks, PSF, and unified scripts provided

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2025-10-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17330345
Primary Topic
Pulsars and Gravitational Waves Research
Type
article
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article

A Data-Driven Environmental Model Closes the HerS-3 Mass Budget Without a Localized SE Halo

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Pulsars and Gravitational Waves Research
article

A Data-Driven Environmental Model Closes the HerS-3 Mass Budget Without a Localized SE Halo

article en

Abstract

We present a comprehensive analysis of the HerS-3 gravitational lens system using data-driven environmental modeling. With zl≈1.0, zs=3.0607, θE=3.7′′, ME=5.728 × 1012M⊙,Mb=4.563 × 1012M⊙, and κext=0.1876 ± 0.0246, we obtain κmin = 0.0158 (Excellent; 0.040at 1σ). Our decision thresholds (Excellent if κmin ≤ 0.30; Good if 0.30 < κmin ≤ 0.40)are anchored in mock simulations spanning 100 analogs. Head-to-head model comparisonfavors our approach: ∆AIC= −3.8, ∆BIC= −2.1 relative to the SE-halo model. Extensivestability tests (κext depth/R-cut variations, Mb systematics including IMF/M/L/dust/PSF,local-environment member reattribution, and joint {κext, Mb, ME} prior sweeps) confirmrobustness.Shear priors are anchored in weak-lensing studies of similar environments.Statistical caveats are explicit: shear-LOS alignment shows only weak evidence (Rayleighp=0.21). Full reproducibility package with masks, PSF, and unified scripts provided

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Openalex Percentile: Top 49%
Pulsars and Gravitational Waves Research
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