End of the conflict in the Russo-Ukrainian war (2014-2025) and its consequences and scenerios

After the end of the Cold War, Ukraine has long played an important, and sometimes overlooked role in the global security order. The still ongoing Russo-Ukrainian war actually began in February 2014. Following Ukraine’s Revolution of Dignity, Russia annexed Crimea (27,000 km2) from Ukraine and supported pro-Russian separatists in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions (around 50,000 km2) – in the so-called Donbas War. In the years 2014-2022, there were occasional military skirmishes in both of the last-mentioned regions, which also included naval incidents and cyberwarfare. On February 24, 2022, Russia launched a so-called full-scale invasion also named a special military operation on Ukrainian area. In the last two years, several hundred thousands of civilians and soldiers on both sides are dead. Thereby it is the biggest military conflict in Europe in the last eighty years - with the most severe refugee crisis, in recent times. In 2025, Ukraine is on the front lines of a renewed great-power rivalry that many experts say will dominate international relations in the decades ahead. After Donald Trump (R) was elected US-President, on November 5 2024; a historic turning point of European security could be in sight. In this article, however, we will analyze the consequences and the scenarios of an end of the Russo-Ukrainian war. And on what conditions and outcomes a possible peace will be concluded?