Polls and predictions: where the NNP lost its votes

The central question raised by Rule et al. is the reliability of opinion polls and predictive methods used to generate data. This contribution traces the results of an HSRC poll conducted in September 2003, which predicted a relatively large imputed vote for the NNP. The authors account for this over-estimation.

Publication Details

Journal
Human Science Research Council SA
Published
2025-10-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.14749/30316474
Primary Topic
Groundwater and Isotope Geochemistry
Type
article
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article

Polls and predictions: where the NNP lost its votes

Human Science Research Council SA
Groundwater and Isotope Geochemistry
article

Polls and predictions: where the NNP lost its votes

article en

Abstract

The central question raised by Rule et al. is the reliability of opinion polls and predictive methods used to generate data. This contribution traces the results of an HSRC poll conducted in September 2003, which predicted a relatively large imputed vote for the NNP. The authors account for this over-estimation.

Human Science Research Council SA
Openalex Percentile: Top 42%
Groundwater and Isotope Geochemistry
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Polls and predictions: where the NNP lost its votes · Human Science Research Council SA (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS