Automated Ensemble Weather Pattern Prediction via Multi-Modal Data Fusion and Dynamic Bayesian Networks

**Abstract:** This paper presents a novel system for enhanced short-term weather forecasting by fusing disparate datasets – radar imagery, satellite data, surface observations, and numerical weather prediction model outputs – through a dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) architecture. Our approach employs a multi-layered evaluation pipeline to assess both the logical consistency and predictive power of ensemble forecasts, culminating in a "HyperScore" that quantifies forecast reliability. This system aims to improve prediction accuracy, particularly in handling rapidly evolving weather phenomena, and offers a commercially viable solution for enhanced operational weather decision support.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2025-10-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17291150
Primary Topic
Genomics and Phylogenetic Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Automated Ensemble Weather Pattern Prediction via Multi-Modal Data Fusion and Dynamic Bayesian Networks

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Genomics and Phylogenetic Studies
article

Automated Ensemble Weather Pattern Prediction via Multi-Modal Data Fusion and Dynamic Bayesian Networks

article en

Abstract

**Abstract:** This paper presents a novel system for enhanced short-term weather forecasting by fusing disparate datasets – radar imagery, satellite data, surface observations, and numerical weather prediction model outputs – through a dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) architecture. Our approach employs a multi-layered evaluation pipeline to assess both the logical consistency and predictive power of ensemble forecasts, culminating in a "HyperScore" that quantifies forecast reliability. This system aims to improve prediction accuracy, particularly in handling rapidly evolving weather phenomena, and offers a commercially viable solution for enhanced operational weather decision support.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Freed–Hardeman University (US)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 46%
Genomics and Phylogenetic Studies
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