Hybrid Neural Network Architectures for Climate Change: Data Assimilation and Prediction

This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of hybrid neural network architectures for climate prediction, addressing critical limitations in current machine learning approaches to climate science. We systematically investigate how physics informed deep learning models can enhance traditional numerical weather prediction through rigorous baseline comparisons and statistical validation. Our study addresses four specific research questions regarding prediction accuracy, architectural performance, computational trade-offs, and generalization capabilities using state-of-the-art GPU infrastructure and comprehensive datasets spanning 1979-2023. Through controlled experiments on a 16-GPU NVIDIA A100 cluster, we demonstrate that hybrid ML-NWP models achieve statistically significant improvements of 18% in temperature forecast accuracy (95% CI: 15.220.8%, p ¡ 0.001) and 26% in precipitation skill (95% CI: 22.4-29.6%, p ¡0.001) compared to operational baselines. Our hybrid CNN-LSTM architecture consistently outperforms individual approaches by 4-6% across all complexity levels while achieving 12.7-350x computational speedup over traditional methods. Cross-validation across multiple climate regimes confirms superior generalization with ¡3% performance degradation compared to ¿15% in pure ML models. The study establishes a standardized evaluation framework for climate ML research and demonstrates practical pathways for operational deployment while preserving essential conservation properties. These findings have immediate implications for improving weather forecasting accuracy and computational efficiency in climate prediction systems.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2025-07-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.16902514
Primary Topic
SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
Type
article
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article

Hybrid Neural Network Architectures for Climate Change: Data Assimilation and Prediction

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
article

Hybrid Neural Network Architectures for Climate Change: Data Assimilation and Prediction

article en

Abstract

This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of hybrid neural network architectures for climate prediction, addressing critical limitations in current machine learning approaches to climate science. We systematically investigate how physics informed deep learning models can enhance traditional numerical weather prediction through rigorous baseline comparisons and statistical validation. Our study addresses four specific research questions regarding prediction accuracy, architectural performance, computational trade-offs, and generalization capabilities using state-of-the-art GPU infrastructure and comprehensive datasets spanning 1979-2023. Through controlled experiments on a 16-GPU NVIDIA A100 cluster, we demonstrate that hybrid ML-NWP models achieve statistically significant improvements of 18% in temperature forecast accuracy (95% CI: 15.220.8%, p ¡ 0.001) and 26% in precipitation skill (95% CI: 22.4-29.6%, p ¡0.001) compared to operational baselines. Our hybrid CNN-LSTM architecture consistently outperforms individual approaches by 4-6% across all complexity levels while achieving 12.7-350x computational speedup over traditional methods. Cross-validation across multiple climate regimes confirms superior generalization with ¡3% performance degradation compared to ¿15% in pure ML models. The study establishes a standardized evaluation framework for climate ML research and demonstrates practical pathways for operational deployment while preserving essential conservation properties. These findings have immediate implications for improving weather forecasting accuracy and computational efficiency in climate prediction systems.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Marathwada Agricultural University (IN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 40%
SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
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Hybrid Neural Network Architectures for Climate Change: Data Assimilation and Prediction · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS