Landslide Displacement Intelligent Dynamic Inversion: Technical Framework and Engineering Application

Displacement back-analysis is a crucial approach to enhance the effectiveness of landslide monitoring data. To improve the computational efficiency and reliability of large-scale three-dimensional landslide displacement inversion, this study develops a novel Landslide Displacement Intelligent Dynamic Inversion Framework (LDIDIF), which integrates the Bayesian displacement back-analysis (BBA) approach, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) surrogate model, and the RANdom SAmple Consensus (RANSAC) algorithm. Specifically, BBA is employed to dynamically calibrate geotechnical parameters with uncertainty, the LSTM model replaces traditional numerical simulations to reduce computational cost, and RANSAC filters inlier observations to enhance the robustness of the inversion model. A case study of the Dawanzi GNSS landslide is conducted. Results show that the LSTM surrogate model achieves prediction errors below 2 mm and enhances computational efficiency by approximately 50,000 times. The RANSAC algorithm effectively identifies and removes GNSS outliers. Notably, LDIDIF significantly reduces the uncertainty of shear strength parameters within the slip zone, yielding a calibrated displacement precision better than 10 mm. The calibrated model reveals that the landslide is buoyancy-driven and that frontal failure may trigger progressive deformation in the rear slope. These findings offer valuable insights for landslide early warning and reservoir operation planning in the Dawanzi area.