Cyclical Attention to Saving

I explore the business-cycle implications of household inattention to savings product choices. In a model with heterogeneous banks, savers pay more attention to their bank choice when the marginal utility of income is high. Consistent with this, in data from the United Kingdom retail savings market, I find savers more reliably choose products closer to the top of the available interest rate distribution during contractions. Countercyclical attention amplifies shocks to consumption: after contractionary shocks, attention rises, so savers experience higher interest rates, which further reduces consumption. In a quantitative New Keynesian model, this amplification increases the variance of consumption by 13.6 percent. (JEL E12, E32, E43, E71, G21, G51)

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Publication Details

Journal
American Economic Journal Macroeconomics
Published
2025-09-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20220311
Primary Topic
Library Science and Information Literacy
Type
article
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article

Cyclical Attention to Saving

American Economic Journal Macroeconomics
Library Science and Information Literacy
article

Cyclical Attention to Saving

article en

Abstract

I explore the business-cycle implications of household inattention to savings product choices. In a model with heterogeneous banks, savers pay more attention to their bank choice when the marginal utility of income is high. Consistent with this, in data from the United Kingdom retail savings market, I find savers more reliably choose products closer to the top of the available interest rate distribution during contractions. Countercyclical attention amplifies shocks to consumption: after contractionary shocks, attention rises, so savers experience higher interest rates, which further reduces consumption. In a quantitative New Keynesian model, this amplification increases the variance of consumption by 13.6 percent. (JEL E12, E32, E43, E71, G21, G51)

American Economic Journal MacroeconomicsVol. 17(4)
University of Surrey (GB)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 43%
Library Science and Information Literacy
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