MACHINE LEARNING BASED PERSPECTIVES FOR HOUSING MARKET CRASH PREDICTION

The recession of 2008, commonly referred to as the "Subprime Mortgage Crisis," was the worst to hit the USA and had an impact on the entire world, costing more than 8.4 million people their employment alone in the USA. From late 2006 to the end of 2009, the crises repeatedly forced innocent people to leave their homes, and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) dropped as low as 4.3%. In order to assist in estimating future market values and prices so that a real estate market recession can be averted, this working paper analyses old and present prices, levels, and interest rates to determine at what rate the market could have been rescued from falling. A house market crash prediction with machine learning techniques including Linear Regression, Hidden Markov Model, and Long Short Term Memory is presented here.

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2025-05-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17216461
Primary Topic
Housing Market and Economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

MACHINE LEARNING BASED PERSPECTIVES FOR HOUSING MARKET CRASH PREDICTION

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Housing Market and Economics
article

MACHINE LEARNING BASED PERSPECTIVES FOR HOUSING MARKET CRASH PREDICTION

article en

Abstract

The recession of 2008, commonly referred to as the "Subprime Mortgage Crisis," was the worst to hit the USA and had an impact on the entire world, costing more than 8.4 million people their employment alone in the USA. From late 2006 to the end of 2009, the crises repeatedly forced innocent people to leave their homes, and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) dropped as low as 4.3%. In order to assist in estimating future market values and prices so that a real estate market recession can be averted, this working paper analyses old and present prices, levels, and interest rates to determine at what rate the market could have been rescued from falling. A house market crash prediction with machine learning techniques including Linear Regression, Hidden Markov Model, and Long Short Term Memory is presented here.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 35%
Housing Market and Economics
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