A Critical View Of NATO's Science And Technology Trends 2025–2045

NATO’s Science and Technology Trends 2025–2045 report represents a significant effort to forecast innovation in the defence-industrial complex. Indeed, upon closer examination, it becomes evident that the report is based on a limited epistemological standpoint and does not fully utilise the possibilities offered by a set of foresight methodologies. There are five key constraints: technocratic framing, lack of ethical engagement, technological determinism, lack of attention to disruptive paradigms and methodological opacity. There is a need for a conceptualisation of strategic foresight grounded in pluralistic, ethical and systems-level understandings.