The capital market reaction to the Indonesian presidential election on February 14, 2024 on The LQ45 Index of The Indonesia Stock Exchange

On February 14, 2024, the Presidential Election of the Republic of Indonesia was held. The presidential election is a crucial moment that may influence various future policies, including economic and political decisions. This political event has the potential to significantly impact the capital market, especially stocks listed in leading stock indices such as LQ45 on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. This research is motivated by the importance of understanding the capital market's reaction to political events using Abnormal Return and Trading Volume Activity (TVA) indicators. This study employs an event study method with secondary data in the form of daily closing stock prices of companies listed in the LQ45 index for the February period. The analytical techniques used include descriptive statistics, normality tests, and the Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test. The results of the study indicate that there are no significant differences in Abnormal Return and Trading Volume Activity (TVA) before and after the Presidential Election. These findings suggest that the Presidential Election on February 14, 2024, did not have a significant impact on the LQ45 index. Therefore, investors are advised to analyze and evaluate all information carefully to ensure that investment decisions are made accurately and not based on incorrect or misleading information.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2025-03-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17192272
Primary Topic
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

The capital market reaction to the Indonesian presidential election on February 14, 2024 on The LQ45 Index of The Indonesia Stock Exchange

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
article

The capital market reaction to the Indonesian presidential election on February 14, 2024 on The LQ45 Index of The Indonesia Stock Exchange

article en

Abstract

On February 14, 2024, the Presidential Election of the Republic of Indonesia was held. The presidential election is a crucial moment that may influence various future policies, including economic and political decisions. This political event has the potential to significantly impact the capital market, especially stocks listed in leading stock indices such as LQ45 on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. This research is motivated by the importance of understanding the capital market's reaction to political events using Abnormal Return and Trading Volume Activity (TVA) indicators. This study employs an event study method with secondary data in the form of daily closing stock prices of companies listed in the LQ45 index for the February period. The analytical techniques used include descriptive statistics, normality tests, and the Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test. The results of the study indicate that there are no significant differences in Abnormal Return and Trading Volume Activity (TVA) before and after the Presidential Election. These findings suggest that the Presidential Election on February 14, 2024, did not have a significant impact on the LQ45 index. Therefore, investors are advised to analyze and evaluate all information carefully to ensure that investment decisions are made accurately and not based on incorrect or misleading information.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Diponegoro University (ID)
Openalex Percentile: Top 29%
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
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The capital market reaction to the Indonesian presidential election on February 14, 2024 on The LQ45 Index of The Indonesia Stock Exchange · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS