Enhancing OHLC Data with Timing Features: A Machine Learning Evaluation

OHLC bar data is a widely used format for representing financial asset prices over time due to its balance of simplicity and informativeness. Bloomberg has recently introduced a new bar data product that includes additional timing information-specifically, the timestamps of the open, high, low, and close prices within each bar. In this paper, we investigate the impact of incorporating this timing data into machine learning models for predicting volume-weighted average price (VWAP). Our experiments show that including these features consistently improves predictive performance across multiple ML architectures. We observe gains across several key metrics, including log-likelihood, mean squared error (MSE), $R^2$, conditional variance estimation, and directional accuracy.

Publication Details

Journal
ArXiv.org
Published
2025-09-19
Primary Topic
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
Type
article
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article

Enhancing OHLC Data with Timing Features: A Machine Learning Evaluation

ArXiv.org
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
article

Enhancing OHLC Data with Timing Features: A Machine Learning Evaluation

article en

Abstract

OHLC bar data is a widely used format for representing financial asset prices over time due to its balance of simplicity and informativeness. Bloomberg has recently introduced a new bar data product that includes additional timing information-specifically, the timestamps of the open, high, low, and close prices within each bar. In this paper, we investigate the impact of incorporating this timing data into machine learning models for predicting volume-weighted average price (VWAP). Our experiments show that including these features consistently improves predictive performance across multiple ML architectures. We observe gains across several key metrics, including log-likelihood, mean squared error (MSE), $R^2$, conditional variance estimation, and directional accuracy.

ArXiv.org
Openalex Percentile: Top 29%
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
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Enhancing OHLC Data with Timing Features: A Machine Learning Evaluation · ArXiv.org (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS